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Abstract SARS-CoV-2 depends on −1 programmed ribosomal frameshifting (−1 PRF) to express proteins essential for its replication. The RNA pseudoknot stimulating −1 PRF is thus an attractive drug target. However, the structural models of this pseudoknot obtained from cryo-EM and crystallography differ in some important features, leaving the pseudoknot structure unclear. We measured the solution structure of the pseudoknot using small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS). The measured profile did not agree with profiles computed from the previously solved structures. Beginning with each of these solved structures, we used the SAXS data to direct all atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to improve the agreement in profiles. In all cases, this refinement resulted in a bent conformation that more closely resembled the cryo-EM structures than the crystal structure. Applying the same approach to a point mutant abolishing −1 PRF revealed a notably more bent structure with reoriented helices. This work clarifies the dynamic structures of the SARS-CoV-2 pseudoknot in solution. 

Determining collective variables (CVs) for conformational transitions is crucial to understanding their dynamics and targeting them in enhanced sampling simulations. Often, CVs are proposed based on intuition or prior knowledge of a system. However, the problem of systematically determining a proper reaction coordinate (RC) for a specific process in terms of a set of putative CVs can be achieved using committor analysis (CA). Identifying essential degrees of freedom that govern such transitions using CA remains elusive because of the high dimensionality of the conformational space. Various schemes exist to leverage the power of machine learning (ML) to extract an RC from CA. Here, we extend these studies and compare the ability of 17 different ML schemes to identify accurate RCs associated with conformational transitions. We tested these methods on an alanine dipeptide in vacuum and on a sarcosine dipeptoid in an implicit solvent. Our comparison revealed that the light gradient boosting machine method outperforms other methods. In order to extract key features from the models, we employed Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis and compared its interpretation with the “feature importance” approach. For the alanine dipeptide, our methodology identifies ϕ and θ dihedrals as essential degrees of freedom in the C7ax to C7eq transition. For the sarcosine dipeptoid system, the dihedrals ψ and ω are the most important for the cisαD to transαD transition. We further argue that analysis of the full dynamical pathway, and not just endpoint states, is essential for identifying key degrees of freedom governing transitions.